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06/01/25
25
NZD/USD Gains Momentum Amid Positive Chinese Data, but Faces US Tariff Risks
The NZD/USD currency pair is gaining momentum, trading around 0.5620 during the Asian session on Monday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is benefiting from recent economic data out of China, specifically the Caixin Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), which registered a rise to 52.2 in December, up from 51.5 in November. This figure surpassed expectations, indicating stronger growth in China’s services sector, which is a positive catalyst for the Kiwi.
Supportive measures from the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) have also reinforced the NZD’s position. The PBOC announced plans to introduce new liquidity tools for the stock market and expressed its commitment to adjusting interest rates and reserve requirement ratios at an appropriate time to bolster economic growth. Given that China is a key trading partner for New Zealand, such developments tend to be favorable for the NZD, contributing to its recent upswing.
Despite these positive developments, the NZD/USD pair may face challenges ahead. Concerns regarding potential tariff increases from the incoming US administration pose a risk. Reports suggest that the new President plans to impose an additional 10% tariff on China, which could destabilize the Chinese economy and, in turn, impact the New Zealand dollar as a proxy for the Chinese market.
Additionally, the US Federal Reserve’s stance remains a critical factor influencing the currency pair. The Fed’s chair emphasized a hawkish tone during the last meeting, lending support to the US dollar. As the market anticipates several key economic reports, including the Federal Open Market Committee’s minutes and upcoming labor market data for December, the outlook for interest rates could significantly impact dollar strength and, subsequently, the NZD/USD dynamics moving forward. Investors will be watching these data releases closely for guidance.
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