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07/08/24
59
Bitcoin’s Recovery: Navigating Bearish Signals Amid Institutional Accumulation
Bitcoin appears to be on a recovery trajectory, moving toward the $58,000 mark after experiencing a substantial 20% drop that saw its price plummet to $49,000, a level not seen since February. However, there are indicators suggesting the cryptocurrency may face further challenges despite this recent rebound.
Technical analysts have noted the formation of a rising wedge pattern, which is often associated with bearish trends. While there is potential for Bitcoin to reach the upper boundary of this wedge around $58,000, analysts caution that a breakdown could push prices down to approximately $51,000. Additionally, a critical support level is identified at $54,000, which may be pivotal in preventing a further decline towards the $40,000 range. If this support level holds firm, resistance levels could potentially target $67,000.
Amid this uncertain backdrop, some analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin’s outlook. The recovery of Bitcoin’s hashrate—the computing power dedicated to the network—has been highlighted as a positive indicator, suggesting that miner capitulation is nearing an end. The current mining costs, estimated at $43,000 per BTC, imply that the hashrate should stabilize above this threshold, barring price declines.
Moreover, there have been significant inflows into custody wallets, indicating that institutional investors are actively accumulating Bitcoin. The increase of 404,000 BTC in Permanent Holder addresses over the past month suggests a shift towards long-term holdings among experienced investors, reinforcing the idea that the market may be driven more by institutional buying rather than speculative retail activity.
Presently, Bitcoin is facing resistance at around $57,570 while attempting to recover from last week’s losses, which totaled 13%. The evolving market dynamics highlight a complex interplay of bearish technical signals and bullish institutional interest, making the short-term outlook for Bitcoin particularly intriguing.
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