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20/11/24
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Gold Prices Surge Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Market Uncertainty
Gold prices have risen for three consecutive days, reaching their highest point in a week and a half, amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine. The precious metal, often viewed as a safe haven, benefits from increased demand driven by uncertainties in global politics and a generally weaker US Dollar.
Despite the upward movement in gold prices, reassurances from both Russian and US officials about avoiding escalation into nuclear conflict have encouraged some stabilization in equity markets. This relative calm has prompted a slight recovery in US Treasury yields, which could limit further gains for gold. Investors are also closely watching upcoming statements from key Federal Reserve officials, which may provide insights into future interest rate adjustments.
The recent geopolitical developments have heightened concerns among investors, especially following Russia’s decision to amend its nuclear doctrine. Ukraine’s use of American-made missiles against Russian military targets has further escalated tensions. Nonetheless, the White House reassured that there are no immediate changes planned for the US nuclear stance, reflecting a cautious optimism in risk appetite among traders.
Market speculation is also focusing on potential economic policies from the new administration, which may affect inflation rates and the Federal Reserve’s approach to interest rates. Recent comments from regional Fed officials suggest that despite fiscal deficits, the central bank could manage inflation without resorting to significant rate cuts. Current market expectations indicate less than a 60% likelihood of a rate cut during the next Fed meeting, which may influence gold prices further.
Looking ahead, gold could target the $2,660 mark, supported by positive technical indicators following a rebound from recent lows. However, any decline below the $2,620 level might lead to a more significant downturn, potentially testing key support around $2,555. Sustained selling pressure could push prices lower, testing last week’s swing lows if bearish momentum continues.
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