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15/11/24
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WTI Stability Amid Inventory Fluctuations and Strong Dollar Concerns
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the benchmark for U.S. crude oil, is currently trading around $68.40 in early Friday trading in Asia. The WTI price remains relatively stable as significant reductions in U.S. fuel inventories counterbalance ongoing concerns regarding oversupply. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a rise in crude stocks last week, with inventories increasing by 2.089 million barrels for the week ending November 8, compared to a prior increase of 2.149 million barrels. Analysts had predicted a more modest inventory build of 1.85 million barrels. In contrast, U.S. gasoline stocks fell significantly, dropping by 4.4 million barrels, reaching a two-year low and diverging from expectations of a 600,000-barrel increase.
The strength of the U.S. Dollar (USD) poses a potential obstacle for WTI prices. As the USD appreciates, it makes oil more expensive for investors holding other currencies, potentially leading to a decline in demand. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the dollar’s strength against a basket of six major currencies, is trading around 106.90, having recently peaked at approximately 107.05.
Additionally, the latest data from the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has contributed to bearish sentiment in the market. OPEC has revised down its forecasts for global oil demand growth for the years 2024 and 2025, citing weaker demand in major markets such as China and India. This marks the fourth consecutive downward adjustment by the organization, further intensifying worries about future oil demand.
As market dynamics unfold, WTI is navigating challenges posed by fluctuating inventory levels, a robust dollar, and cautious outlooks from major oil producers, highlighting the complexities of the current crude oil landscape.
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